Analysts Redux (and I am not a member of the media)

Sorry to disappoint. While I appreciate the traffic that the folks at ZL Technologies are sending my way from their Gartner lawsuit Press Coverage list, I chuckle that they consider my blog on par with ZDNet and Informationweek and the like.  Of course, now I recognize why my contacts at Gartner are not returning my call!

So lest I am accused of playing favorites, let me just make one comment about a recent report from Forrester. They just published a very good report on the budget outlook for IT Services. I found it very insightful. Unfortunately the study relies on data gathered in April & May! Further it leads with a stat about the state of IT Budgets for 2009.  I am not sure how it helps me plan for next year to know that the budgets are expected to drop for the year just past?  Good for benchmarking I guess, but hard to plan around that.

Generally I find the data provided by both Gartner and Forrester to be highly valuable. But when it takes 6 months to go from data collection to publishing a report, particularly in a year as volatile as this one, it’s really not that helpful.

Gartner Magic Quadrant for Sale? No, but Access is.

I attended the Olin Innovation Lab at the Franklin W. Olin College of Engineering, hosted by noted Futurist Thorton May this week. It was a good discussion from the IT perspective on Clouds, Augmented Reality, Social Media, Security, and Green Tech. And in the middle of it all, our good friends at Gartner Research were actually booed, as shocking as that sounds.

Here was an audience of 30 or so well respected CIOs from several different industries and they were more than happy to hear the news that Gartner is getting sued by ZL Technologies over their Magic Quadrant methodology.

Many high quality articles have been written on this subject already, you can read one of my favorites on ZDNet here. What I am most interested in however was what the suit, and this reaction means for Gartner, and their brethren. (To be fair, the financial ratings services also took it squarely on the chin during the sessions as well, it was a spirited group!)

In the interest of full disclosure I have worked in the AR field for the last 15 years and have a decent understanding of the MQ game and have survived it a few times. And survive is the operative word here because “winning” is often measured in picas.

Vendors big and small tithe at the feet of Gartner and their brethren because they feel they have to. The Analyst firms have the ear of the technology buyers who consume their reports to make buying decisions. In short, positive Analyst recommendations drive real business, and tech companies know this unequivocally.

Research from a few years back suggested that something like 80% of all enterprise technology deals involved an analyst in some capacity, either through consulting, research, shortlisting or verifying qualifications etc. What I told my sales team at the time was that you needed to assume that analysts were involved somehow even it wasn’t disclosed, and try to find ways to bring the analysts in ourselves to help control the interactions.

But is the MQ truly pay-for-play? I personally don’t think so. I think the analysts have deep integrity and an understandable defensiveness around these issues. The good ones would never be bought so baldly. However, what your money DOES buy is access.

The more I spend, the more access I get. If I am willing to plunk down the half day or full day rate, I can get the analysts time pretty much whenever I want.  And if I use that time well, then I have a greater opportunity to shape the message and the analyst will be that much more familiar with my offering. Which is most important when it comes time to do the MQ or to ANSWER THE SHORTLIST INQUIRY REQUEST FROM MY PROSPECT.

Can you get access without being a client? Of course you can. But nobody for a minute thinks that one formal briefing a year and the answers to the questionnaire is a replacement for the amount of access money can buy.  I know of technology companies whose AR budget alone far outstrip my entire global marketing budget. And with good reason. It works.

Does the MQ skew to higher end companies? In my view, of course it does. Did Gartner try and solve this by coming out with the MarketScopes for emerging markets, up and coming vendor highlights, and well printed fine print about how to view the niche providers? You bet they did.  But as long as the vendors still pony up the dough, and the end-users keep sucking up the reports and using them in the decisions cycle, the circle will continue, lawsuit or no lawsuit.

So what of the booing that went on at the event? Does this mean we are reaching a tipping point where the consumers of these reports are beginning to question their veracity and objectivity? 30 people is hardly a valid focus group, but if this is a signal that one leg of the stool is getting weak, the industry analyst firms should be very, very concerned.

@ajdun

PS: And I really want to know how wronged does ZL Technologies feel that they needed to take this step? What did their AR and PR people tell them when this came up in the strategy session? I need to see the inside story on that one!